Mortgage Rates, Affordability & What Today’s Pending Sales Are Telling Us

For many Long Islanders, the question isn’t if they want to buy or sell a home, it’s when. And in a market where mortgage rates, affordability, and pending home sales are all shifting, timing has never been more important. Understanding these trends is the key to making confident, informed decisions in 2026.

After a turbulent few years, mortgage rates have started to level out, but they’re still notably higher than buyers were used to during the pandemic boom. This has cooled activity in some areas, especially among first-time buyers who are recalculating monthly budgets and weighing long-term affordability. According to recent reports, pending home sales have dropped to the lowest level on record outside of early pandemic months, signaling hesitation but not disinterest. Buyers are still active, just more strategic.

In fact, we’re seeing a more informed buyer emerge. Someone who’s watching not just rates, but job growth, inflation, and inventory trends. And there’s good news on the horizon: while prices remain elevated, affordability is expected to improve modestly as wages rise and sellers return to the market with more realistic pricing. On Long Island, where demand has always outpaced supply, even a small shift in affordability can have a big impact on sales activity.

For sellers, this isn’t a reason to panic. It’s a reason to price smart. And for buyers, it’s a chance to prepare while competition is more balanced.

Thinking of making a move in 2026? Let’s talk strategy. Whether you’re buying your first home or preparing to list, I can help you navigate the numbers and negotiate from a position of strength.